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Financial Scandal
Susan Lee Miller, president
of Index Investor, Inc., recently wrote an editorial on
the financial scandal that is the modern mutual fund industry.
She wrote as follows:
“Amid
all the talk and reporting over the past year about Enron,
Worldcom, and Wall Street analysts, one of the biggest
financial scandals has gone almost unnoticed. By encouraging
the use of actively managed mutual funds instead of index
investments, the financial services industry is costing
investors almost forty billion dollars each year in the
United States alone. On a global scale, the cost is even
higher.”
Elsewhere on this web site,
we provide the Evidence regarding
the failure of mutual funds to justify their high Costs,
and demonstrate the superiority of low-cost index funds
to achieve investment goals. Ms. Miller, however, puts
a dollar amount on these total lost investment dollars,
forty billion a year, dollars misspent by mutual fund
managers in their failed attempt to add value to customers’
accounts in excess of what those customers could obtain
through investment in comparable index funds. Dollars
lost that could otherwise provide funds for education
or an enhanced retirement. (See Investment
Illusion and Fooled By Randomness
for a full discussion of the mechanics of this poor investment
decision-making process.)
In this spirit of discourse on the “modern mutual
fund financial scandal”, a devastating critique
of the modern mutual fund industry and its consequences
on the financial lives of millions of investors, was recently
provided by John C. Bogle.
On March 12, 2003, Mr. Bogle, a pioneer in the development
of index fund investing and a great investment consumer
activist, spoke to Congress about mutual fund costs and
governance structure. Mr. Bogle testified in front of
the U.S. House of Representatives Subcommittee on Capital
Markets, Insurance, and Government Sponsored Enterprises
of the Committee of Financial Services (hereinafter, the
“Subcommittee”).
The Subcommittee was considering changes to legislation
regulating the mutual fund industry.
The wily veteran of over 50 years in the mutual fund industry
came armed with facts. In regards to mutual fund cost
issues, the facts presented by Mr. Bogle mirror the kind
of studies reviewed in Evidence and Costs elsewhere on
this web site. Following are some of Mr. Bogle’s
facts presented before the Subcommittee:
“A study of stock
fund returns during the decade ended June 30, 2001,
for example, showed that the low-cost quartile of funds
earned an average net return of 14.5% per year, while
the average high-cost fund earned an average of 12.3%,
a 2.2% gap that was even larger than the 1.2% expense
ratio gap between the two groups (0.64% vs. 1.85%).”
(Emphasis Added By IFE).
“An additional statistical test showed that this
clear linkage between cost and return prevailed even
more strongly when fund returns were adjusted for risk.
The higher-cost funds were clearly assuming higher risks,
and the gap in favor of the low-cost quartile rose to
3.0% per year.” (Emphasis Added By IFE).
Mr. Bogle
then paused (in his critique of mutual fund cost structure)
to discuss the changes he has witnessed in the modern mutual
fund industry compared to the mutual fund industry of old.
Anticipating some of his later recommendations on legislative
requirements on mutual fund governance, Mr. Bogle said:
“The mutual fund
industry that I read about in Fortune magazine in 1949
is almost unrecognizable today. Over and over again,
the article spoke of “trustee,” “trusteeship,”
“the investment trust industry,” words that
we rarely see today. Over the half-century-plus that
followed, in my considered judgment, the fund industry
has moved from what was largely a business of stewardship
to a business of salesmanship, a shifting of our primary
focus from the management of assets investors have entrusted
to our care to the marketing of our wares so as to build
the asset base we manage.”
(See Investment
Illusion and Where Are The Customers’
Yachts elsewhere on this web site for a fuller discussion
of, respectively, the mechanisms of investor entrapment
utilized by this modern mutual fund industry and the (index
fund) consumer revolution underway to counteract this
trend.)
Mr. Bogle then went on in his presentation to cite nine
specific “changes” between the new and the
old mutual fund industry including the following:
“Our
shareholders, on average, now hold their fund shares for
much shorter periods—just over two years, compared
to 16 years in the 1950s and 1960s.
“As the creation of new funds (often speculative
funds, formed to capitalize on the market fads of the
day) has soared, the fund failure rate has risen to an
all-time high. (At present rates, fully one-half of all
of today’s funds won’t be around a decade
hence.)”
“The costs of fund ownership have also soared, with
expense ratios of the largest funds rising 134%—from
0.64% in 1951 to 1.50% in 2002.”
“Once a profession practiced almost entirely by
privately-held enterprises, the management of mutual funds
has largely become the business of giant financial conglomerates,
which own 36 of the 50 largest fund managers.”
Mr. Bogle then asks if the
changes have “been of service to fund shareholders?”
Mr. Bogle answers, of course, with facts, as follows:
“Largely
because of far higher costs, the returns earned by the
average mutual fund in the “new” industry
has lagged the returns of the stock market itself (measured
here by the Standard & Poor’s 500 Stock Index)
by a substantially larger amount than the lag during the
era of the “old” industry. Specifically, the
performance lag has nearly doubled, from 1.6 percentage
points per year to 3.1 percentage points per year.”
(Emphasis added by IFE).
“As it turns out, the major reason that the return
of the average equity fund lagged the stock market by
3.1% is the costs that investors’ funds incur—the
management fees, the operating expenses, the-out-of-pocket
fees, the portfolio transaction costs, the sales charges,
and the ‘opportunity cost’ represented by
the significant cash positions typically held by funds.”
“The substantial increase in expense ratios, combined
with the staggering growth of fund assets, means that
the revenues generated to fund managers rose almost exponentially.
Specifically, these 25 original funds were operated at
an average cost of just $520 thousand in 1951; in 2002
the average cost of the 20 remaining funds came to $44
million, a 85-fold increase dwarfing the 57-fold increase
in assets.”
Mr. Bogle then sums up his
presentation on mutual fund cost data as follows:
“Investors
are largely unaware of the high level of mutual fund costs,
and even less aware of the powerful effect of these costs
on the compounding of their returns over the long-term.
I believe that we urgently need new SEC rules that require
greater cost disclosure.”
Mr. Bogle concluded his presentation
to the Subcommittee with recommendations as to enhanced
“costs” disclosure requirements and (to foster
serious fee negotiations between mutual funds and their
advisers) as to changes in governance structure of mutual
funds.
Summary
The mutual fund “financial scandal” is different
from the other scandals that Ms. Miller cited in the first
paragraph of this web page. While we will wait to see
what the courts will say about some of the actions taken
by major players at Enron, Worldcom and the like, it would
not be surprising to see some of these folks in jail.
Such is not the case in the mutual fund financial scandal.
The scandal in the mutual fund industry is, however, in
some respects, worse. First of all, its worse because
of the magnitude of the mutual fund scandal, 40 billion
a year in the U.S. alone, according to Ms. Miller.
Then, it is the number of people affected. Investment
in mutual funds is undertaken by millions of American
investors who depend on returns from investment to fund
college for the kids and retirement for themselves.
But, in the final analysis, what is most disturbing about
the mutual fund financial scandal is precisely that it’s
“all legal”. No one’s going to jail
over the kinds of “distortions” we discuss
at Investment Illusion elsewhere
on this web site. Inducing investors into “hoping”
that they can get higher returns by (unjustifiably) trusting
in the investment acumen of smooth-looking, smooth-operating
(and expensive) mutual fund giants (or the brokers that
hype them) is no crime. Will we see Congress enact, as
Mr. Bogle recommends, better disclosure and mutual fund
governance regulations to give the average investor a
better chance? Probably not. The industry has humungous
amounts of money and lobbyists at their beck and call.
But, YOU, THE INFORMED INVESTOR, can make the change.
YOU can follow the Evidence,
examine the true Costs, and better
comprehend the mechanism of Investment
Illusion. And YOU can explain it to a friend or two.
And they can explain it to a friend or two.
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